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Table 5 Sensitivity analysis (percentage change with respect to the benchmark)

From: The effect of payroll taxes on employment and wages under high labor informality

 

Reform scenario A under benchmark

Scenario A under lower valuation of CSI services

Scenario A under higher valuation of CSI services

Scenario A under higher valuation of NCSI transfers

Scenario A under higher enforcement of payroll taxes

Employment

     

Total employment(a)

0.3

0.2

0.4

0.3

0.3

 Salaried formal

3.7

3.5

5.1

3.8

4.1

 Salaried informal

0.9

1.5

−1.3

0.9

0.5

 Own-account

−4.3

−4.8

−3.5

−4.4

−4.3

Earnings

     

Formal gross wage

−4.0

−4.0

−3.6

−3.8

−4.0

Formal net wage(b)

4.9

4.9

5.3

5.0

4.9

Informal gross wage

2.9

3.6

2.6

3.0

2.9

Informal net wage(b)

3.0

3.8

2.7

3.2

3.0

After-tax average earnings, own account

2.8

3.1

2.6

2.9

2.8

After-tax average earnings, employers

4.0

3.0

4.7

4.2

3.9

  1. Notes:
  2. (a)Salaried plus own-account workers.
  3. (b)Net of taxes/subsidies.
  4. Reform scenario A assumes a fall of 22.4 percent in labor taxes (equivalent to a decrease of 13.5 percentage points) and a lump-sum transfer to formal workers equivalent to 9 percent of their benchmark wage rate. See the main text for an explanation of each scenario.