Table 15 Estimates of split-cure model—first stable employment—proportional Weibull hazard function

Armenia

Benin

Brazil

Cambodia

Egypt

El Salvador

Jamaica

Jordan

Macedonia, FYR

OPT

Peru

Samoa

Tanzania

 16–18

−0.186

−0.554

0.542***

0.809***

−0.904

−0.033

1.305***

0.604***

0.932***

0.501***

0.312

0.868***

0.260

(0.265)

(0.459)

(0.090)

(0.169)

(0.724)

(0.127)

(0.182)

(0.112)

(0.308)

(0.169)

(0.205)

(0.242)

(0.472)

 After 18

0.427

0.740***

0.721***

1.075***

−0.279

0.424***

1.646***

0.729***

1.289***

0.811***

0.447**

1.114***

0.956**

(0.268)

(0.263)

(0.092)

(0.173)

(0.608)

(0.127)

(0.204)

(0.113)

(0.312)

(0.172)

(0.225)

(0.257)

(0.482)

Work in school

1.132***

−−0.350

1.136***

−0.663***

0.224

0.482***

0.854***

0.428***

0.542***

0.148

0.389***

0.551*

−0.408

(0.138)

(0.382)

(0.197)

(0.173)

(0.516)

(0.100)

(0.136)

(0.137)

(0.148)

(0.115)

(0.133)

(0.296)

(0.458)

 Primary

−0.433**

−0.155

0.288***

0.327**

0.337

−0.561**

−0.250

0.205***

0.665***

0.211

0.228

0.117

(0.218)

(0.336)

(0.077)

(0.160)

(0.514)

(0.230)

(0.173)

(0.079)

(0.155)

(0.130)

(0.162)

(0.373)

 Secondary

−0.523**

0.247

0.203

0.037

0.299***

0.593***

−0.047

−0.960***

(0.224)

(0.154)

(0.599)

(0.306)

(0.098)

(0.219)

(0.123)

(0.276)

Urban

0.118

−0.652**

0.431***

−0.117

−0.252

−0.141

0.060

−0.016

0.436***

−0.256*

0.067

(0.152)

(0.261)

(0.087)

(0.143)

(0.440)

(0.095)

(0.124)

(0.085)

(0.127)

(0.135)

(0.306)

Female

0.520***

0.153

−0.077

0.115

0.251

−0.400***

−0.358***

−1.185***

0.412***

−0.200

−0.182

0.178

−1.088**

(0.129)

(0.257)

(0.056)

(0.127)

(0.479)

(0.099)

(0.120)

(0.086)

(0.157)

(0.262)

(0.138)

(0.136)

(0.441)

GDP growth at time of leaving education

0.001

0.024

−0.024**

−0.003

−0.063

0.058**

0.051

−0.020

0.011

0.007

0.003

0.036

0.043

(0.007)

(0.103)

(0.012)

(0.020)

(0.126)

(0.027)

(0.044)

(0.015)

(0.022)

(0.016)

(0.023)

(0.029)

(0.206)

Ln(g)

−0.394***

−0.617***

−0.504***

−0.686***

−0.328***

−0.537***

−0.454***

−0.443***

−0.367***

−0.422***

−0.454***

−0.442***

−0.461***

(0.037)

(0.067)

(0.020)

(0.036)

(0.092)

(0.028)

(0.038)

(0.023)

(0.046)

(0.040)

(0.038)

(0.043)

(0.070)

Observations

1849

1402

1582

2246

2011

2213

1499

2873

1228

1546

1341

1736

1001

Togo

Tunisia

Ukraine

Vietnam

Uganda

Madagascar

Nepal

Russian Fed.

Kyrgyz Rep.

Moldova, Rep.

 16–18

−1.607***

0.319

0.014

1.082***

0.255*

1.286***

0.029

0.560

0.528

−0.971**

(0.474)

(0.252)

(0.199)

(0.200)

(0.143)

(0.399)

(0.257)

(0.731)

(0.491)

(0.395)

 After 18

0.702

0.164

0.543***

2.256***

0.484***

1.418**

0.512**

1.244*

1.649***

−0.662

(0.464)

(0.335)

(0.193)

(0.158)

(0.147)

(0.587)

(0.225)

(0.746)

(0.481)

(0.415)

Work in school

−0.591

0.048

0.117

−0.260

0.197

−0.085

−0.115

−0.223

0.151

0.390

(0.379)

(0.177)

(0.078)

(0.161)

(0.125)

(0.401)

(0.179)

(0.281)

(0.185)

(0.259)

 Primary

−0.451

0.115

0.061

−0.053

−0.090

0.282

0.090

−0.100

(0.302)

(0.275)

(0.119)

(0.186)

(0.404)

(0.245)

(0.292)

(0.182)

 Secondary

0.033

0.075

−0.009

−0.315

0.401

−0.172

−0.052

−0.215

(0.437)

(0.078)

(0.182)

(0.209)

(0.330)

(0.308)

(0.204)

(0.529)

Urban

0.650**

−0.273

−0.079

0.243**

−0.415***

−0.708*

−0.523**

0.644**

0.048

−0.829***

(0.314)

(0.239)

(0.082)

(0.115)

(0.144)

(0.399)

(0.241)

(0.274)

(0.131)

(0.271)

Female

0.250

−0.493**

−0.167**

0.130

0.149

0.203

−0.586***

−0.612**

0.005

−0.455*

(0.283)

(0.236)

(0.071)

(0.096)

(0.118)

(0.343)

(0.224)

(0.263)

(0.135)

(0.244)

GDP growth at time of leaving education

0.060

0.037

−0.004

−0.211***

−0.012

−0.051

0.044

−0.026

−0.045**

−0.023

(0.051)

(0.045)

(0.005)

(0.055)

(0.031)

(0.033)

(0.064)

(0.023)

(0.021)

(0.029)

(0.531)

(0.334)

(0.209)

(0.445)

(0.247)

(0.392)

(0.372)

(0.919)

(0.490)

(0.347)

Ln(g)

−0.736***

−0.520***

−0.276***

−0.293***

−0.534***

−0.653***

−0.471***

−0.365***

−0.303***

−0.119

(0.092)

(0.049)

(0.023)

(0.034)

(0.036)

(0.085)

(0.052)

(0.060)

(0.039)

(0.079)

Observations

832

1458

1727

1620

1894

1508

1109

1975

1776

507