Table 14 Estimates of split-cure model—first stable employment—probability of never transiting

Armenia

Benin

Brazil

Cambodia

Egypt

El Salvador

Jamaica

Jordan

Macedonia, FYR

OPT

Peru

Samoa

Tanzania

 16–18

0.269

0.482

−0.594***

0.614

0.220**

−0.858*

−0.132

16.693

−0.469

−0.049

0.467***

0.103

(0.240)

(0.323)

(0.158)

(0.482)

(0.097)

(0.475)

(0.229)

(750.850)

(0.521)

(0.176)

(0.178)

(0.418)

 After 18

0.975***

0.812***

−0.246

1.339***

0.231**

−0.571

5.031

16.239

1.375**

−0.003

0.248

−0.320

(0.247)

(0.200)

(0.168)

(0.399)

(0.104)

(0.483)

(51.854)

(750.850)

(0.537)

(0.193)

(0.195)

(0.396)

Work in school

−0.163

0.890***

0.224

0.162

0.043

−0.209

−0.244

−0.703

0.920*

0.015

0.132

0.501

(0.166)

(0.266)

(0.180)

(0.333)

(0.090)

(0.157)

(0.227)

(0.661)

(0.538)

(0.119)

(0.263)

(0.429)

 Primary

−0.053

0.415*

0.167

0.417

0.608**

0.137

−0.163

−14.541

0.441

−0.050

−0.225

(0.196)

(0.230)

(0.139)

(0.339)

(0.253)

(0.186)

(0.173)

(750.850)

(0.326)

(0.129)

(0.320)

 Secondary

0.191

0.850**

−0.030

−0.701***

−10.950

0.919***

0.657**

(0.223)

(0.396)

(0.294)

(0.244)

(744.011)

(0.346)

(0.325)

Urban

0.648***

0.471**

0.659***

0.437

0.745***

0.339**

−0.102

0.772*

0.387

0.044

(0.150)

(0.192)

(0.142)

(0.298)

(0.081)

(0.143)

(0.209)

(0.452)

(0.344)

(0.271)

Female

−1.262***

−0.811***

−0.265**

−0.470

−0.423***

0.182

−2.416***

−15.745

−3.883***

−0.315***

0.143

0.725

(0.180)

(0.183)

(0.119)

(0.343)

(0.086)

(0.151)

(0.175)

(750.851)

(0.557)

(0.119)

(0.111)

(0.465)

GDP growth at time of leaving education

−0.010

0.085

−0.010

0.040

0.018

−0.056

0.116***

−0.103

−0.036

−0.019

0.097***

0.061

(0.008)

(0.080)

(0.018)

(0.092)

(0.022)

(0.051)

(0.043)

(0.114)

(0.048)

(0.019)

(0.022)

(0.177)

Observations

1849

1401

2246

2010

2211

1486

2879

1228

1544

1342

1728

999

Togo

Tunisia

Ukraine

Vietnam

Uganda

Madagascar

Nepal

Russian Fed.

Kyrgyz Rep.

Moldova, Rep.

 16–18

3.570

−0.036

0.052

−0.495

−0.030

−0.401

0.218

0.037

0.331

0.396

(2.875)

(0.214)

(0.187)

(0.342)

(0.115)

(0.333)

(0.188)

(0.525)

(0.346)

(0.359)

 After 18

−0.052

0.055

0.264

−0.543*

0.297**

−0.260

0.181

−0.480

1.343***

0.335

(0.369)

(0.347)

(0.182)

(0.325)

(0.125)

(0.428)

(0.169)

(0.537)

(0.341)

(0.378)

Work in school

0.820**

0.579**

0.160*

0.044

−0.411***

−0.351

0.258*

0.027

−0.180

−0.157

(0.412)

(0.225)

(0.083)

(0.213)

(0.102)

(0.280)

(0.136)

(0.200)

(0.145)

(0.231)

 Primary

0.724**

0.120

0.091

0.079

0.545*

−0.253

0.126

−0.236*

(0.317)

(0.302)

(0.148)

(0.148)

(0.298)

(0.196)

(0.188)

(0.142)

 Secondary

1.160

0.031

0.166

0.313*

0.136

0.099

0.052

−0.700

(1.204)

(0.078)

(0.199)

(0.178)

(0.239)

(0.218)

(0.168)

(0.482)

Urban

0.132

0.537**

0.369***

0.350**

0.820***

0.732**

0.392**

−0.490***

0.228**

0.480**

(0.361)

(0.257)

(0.079)

(0.137)

(0.129)

(0.343)

(0.157)

(0.187)

(0.107)

(0.244)

Female

−0.677**

−0.481**

−0.221***

−0.082

−0.600***

−0.062

−0.937***

−0.629***

−0.182*

−0.346

(0.281)

(0.235)

(0.071)

(0.121)

(0.100)

(0.251)

(0.158)

(0.179)

(0.104)

(0.224)

GDP growth at time of leaving education

−0.060

−0.034

0.003

0.262***

−0.041

0.047**

0.082

0.035*

0.019

0.015

(0.045)

(0.053)

(0.005)

(0.084)

(0.025)

(0.023)

(0.060)

(0.018)

(0.015)

(0.025)

Observations

832

1458

1727

1620

1894

1508

1109

1975

1776

507