Table 12 Estimates of split-cure model—first employment—probability of never transiting

Armenia

Benin

Brazil

Cambodia

Egypt

El Salvador

Jamaica

Jordan

Macedonia, FYR

OPT

Peru

Samoa

Tanzania

 16–18

0.273*

0.021

–

−0.064

−0.290**

−0.002

−2.737

−0.115

3.928***

0.147

0.143

0.342***

0.012

(0.152)

(0.108)

–

(0.090)

(0.130)

(0.086)

(31.047)

(0.199)

(1.237)

(0.190)

(0.142)

(0.120)

(0.243)

 After 18

0.827***

0.020

–

0.044

3.204

0.080

−2.374

1.821***

2.114***

2.227***

0.375**

0.710***

0.637**

(0.174)

(0.102)

–

(0.111)

(28.437)

(0.101)

(31.048)

(0.220)

(0.654)

(0.323)

(0.157)

(0.125)

(0.300)

Work in school

0.706***

1.275***

–

0.351***

0.860***

0.644***

0.147

0.300

0.759*

0.251

0.551***

0.493***

0.022

(0.144)

(0.176)

–

(0.096)

(0.169)

(0.087)

(0.156)

(0.269)

(0.399)

(0.170)

(0.121)

(0.162)

(0.322)

 Primary

−0.328**

−0.054

–

0.280**

−0.036

0.846**

0.112

0.086

−2.557***

−0.112

0.092

−0.052

(0.166)

(0.120)

–

(0.141)

(0.165)

(0.330)

(0.185)

(0.145)

(0.707)

(0.170)

(0.083)

(0.236)

 Secondary

−0.407**

–

0.010

−0.510**

0.279

−1.713*

−0.096

0.139

(0.173)

–

(0.357)

(0.258)

(0.239)

(0.957)

(0.187)

(0.174)

Urban

−0.101

−0.115

–

−0.110

−0.225*

0.437***

0.068

−0.287*

1.806***

0.038

−1.137***

(0.089)

(0.081)

–

(0.099)

(0.121)

(0.079)

(0.145)

(0.172)

(0.488)

(0.204)

(0.315)

Female

−1.407***

−0.232***

–

−0.251***

−1.501***

−1.108***

0.362**

−2.776***

−0.597**

−2.767***

−0.453***

−0.128*

0.128

(0.100)

(0.079)

–

(0.086)

(0.136)

(0.079)

(0.173)

(0.153)

(0.303)

(0.231)

(0.107)

(0.074)

(0.217)

GDP growth at time of leaving education

0.014***

0.190***

–

0.033***

−0.016

0.018

0.007

0.066

−0.025

−0.028*

0.051***

−0.641***

(0.005)

(0.036)

–

(0.011)

(0.036)

(0.018)

(0.034)

(0.058)

(0.016)

(0.017)

(0.013)

(0.226)

Observations

1849

1402

–

2246

2011

2213

1499

2873

1228

1546

1341

1736

1001

Togo

Tunisia

Ukraine

Vietnam

Uganda

Madagascar

Nepal

Russian Fed.

Kyrgyz Rep.

Moldova, Rep.

 16–18

2.301

−0.049

0.100

−0.603

0.101

−0.116

−0.099

0.272

0.055

−0.125

(46.108)

(0.160)

(0.173)

(0.379)

(0.108)

(0.127)

(0.119)

(0.192)

(0.173)

(0.191)

 After 18

0.456

−0.244*

0.460***

−0.665*

0.163

−0.134

−0.172

0.540***

0.709***

0.093

(0.324)

(0.148)

(0.171)

(0.395)

(0.131)

(0.168)

(0.112)

(0.189)

(0.204)

(0.226)

Work in school

0.503**

0.430***

0.262***

2.254

0.211**

0.423***

0.504***

0.251*

0.236

0.233

(0.228)

(0.152)

(0.090)

(105.230)

(0.098)

(0.141)

(0.094)

(0.137)

(0.152)

(0.149)

 Primary

2.490

0.186

2.299

−0.314**

−0.194

−0.273**

−0.026

−0.341*

(50.149)

(0.187)

(65.505)

(0.133)

(0.130)

(0.128)

(0.115)

(0.191)

 Secondary

3.032

0.068

13.443

−0.141

0.203

−0.120

−0.113

0.185

(34.958)

(0.079)

(0.171)

(0.212)

(0.129)

(0.310)

(0.317)

Urban

−0.514***

0.374***

0.310***

1.146

0.118

−0.257**

0.020

0.320***

0.033

0.086

(0.188)

(0.128)

(0.078)

(1.999)

(0.123)

(0.114)

(0.102)

(0.096)

(0.117)

(0.179)

Female

0.081

−0.798***

−0.473***

−0.267

−0.427***

−0.097

−0.689***

−0.515***

−1.205***

−0.804***

(0.196)

(0.130)

(0.073)

(0.281)

(0.109)

(0.107)

(0.089)

(0.108)

(0.143)

(0.165)

GDP growth at time of leaving education

0.002

0.000

0.010**

0.288

−0.023

0.001

0.058

0.011

0.015

−0.010

(0.017)

(0.031)

(0.005)

(0.178)

(0.023)

(0.010)

(0.040)

(0.011)

(0.016)

(0.015)

Observations

832

1463

1725

1620

1903

1511

1110

1984

1780

507