Safety valve or sinkhole? Vocational schooling in South Africa

IZA Journal of Labor & Development

Table A1 Enrollment response to grade failure by program type: robustness to other shocks

Robust standard errors in parentheses, clustered by individual. * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1%. Sample is person-years from estimation sample described in Appendix A Data definitions, with completed education 9 years or more, from CAPS life history panel. Excludes person-years corresponding to Wave 5 for which fraudulent fieldwork suspected. Vocational programs include technical colleges, NTC and universities of technology. Re-enrollment refers to enrollment after at least one year of non-enrollment. Sample sizes drop in regressions including shocks because these only measured in Waves 1, 3 and 4. All regressions are survey-weighted linear probability models that include individual fixed effects and age, completed schooling, and calendar year dummies. Key to included shocks in each regression, by column: (1) none. (2) any household shock, including death; serious illness or injury; job loss; major financial loss (including business failure or bankruptcy); abandonment or divorce; theft, fire or property damage; or other shock. (3) any household shock (t−1). (4) death, serious illness or injury. (5) death, serious illness or injury (t−1). (6) job loss; major financial loss; theft, fire or property damage. (7) job loss; major financial loss; theft, fire or property damage (t−1). (8) pension eligibility (regression discontinuity specification). (9) pregnancy, marriage and their first lags (females only).