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Table 6 Poisson estimation of preferred and actual fertility

From: Jobs and kids: female employment and fertility in China

Variables

Poisson estimation (coefficient)

Preferred number of children

Actual number of children

Female employment status

  Not employed (reference)

  Employed

−0.044

(0.026)*

−0.085

(0.026)***

Other explanatory variables

  Household annual income in natural log

0.008

(0.005)

0.007

(0.004)*

  Ethnic minority (wife and/or husband)

0.004

(0.031)

0.033

(0.031)

  Age

−0.004

(0.012)

0.081

(0.012)***

  Age squared

0.001

(0.001)

−0.001

(0.0002)***

  Married

0.066

(0.101)

0.088

(0.096)

  The first child is a son

−0.071

(0.017)***

−0.067

(0.017)***

  Wife has siblings

0.041

(0.050)

0.049

(0.053)

  Husband has siblings

0.038

(0.046)

0.020

(0.046)

  Smoking

−0.040

(0.082)

−0.019

(0.080)

  Drinking alcohol

0.054

(0.030)*

0.018

(0.031)

  Health insurance

0.043

(0.020)**

0.032

(0.021)

Education

   Less than primary school (reference)

   Primary school

−0.063

(0.031)**

−0.057

(0.031)*

   Lower middle school

−0.108

(0.028)***

−0.100

(0.028)***

   Upper middle school

−0.177

(0.035)***

−0.179

(0.035)***

   Technologic school

−0.270

(0.052)***

−0.234

(0.049)***

   College

−0.218

(0.063)***

−0.237

(0.053)***

Occupation

   Worker (reference)

   Professional

−0.047

(0.053)

−0.011

(0.047)

   Manager

−0.070

(0.076)

−0.028

(0.067)

   Staff

−0.043

(0.057)

−0.026

(0.051)

   Other occupations

−0.023

(0.057)

0.010

(0.057)

Health status

   Excellent (reference)

   Good

0.016

(0.025)

−0.020

(0.025)

   Fair

0.014

(0.030)

−0.030

(0.029)

   Poor

−0.015

(0.046)

−0.037

(0.048)

Province

   Heilongjiang (reference)

   Liaoning

0.097

(0.034)***

0.077

(0.033)**

   Jiangsu

0.022

(0.039)

−0.005

(0.038)

   Shandong

0.096

(0.039)***

0.039

(0.039)

   Henan

0.344

(0.033)***

0.314

(0.032)***

   Hubei

0.190

(0.037)***

0.167

(0.035)***

   Hunan

0.257

(0.036)***

0.156

(0.035)***

   Guangxi

0.179

(0.048)***

0.160

(0.049)***

   Guizhou

0.330

(0.041)***

0.311

(0.040)***

  Village or neighborhood population (in 1000)

−0.006

(0.003)***

−0.007

(0.002)***

  Han nationality allowed to have two children if the first child is female

0.120

(0.021)***

0.161

(0.021)***

  Receiving a subsidy if having one child

−0.129

(0.023)***

−0.103

(0.022)***

  Urban

−0.126

(0.036)***

−0.163

(0.030)***

  Constant

0.133

(0.277)

−1.803

(0.271)***

  1. Note: standard deviations are reported in parentheses.
  2. * significant at the 10% level; ** significant at the 5% level; *** significant at the 1% level.