Does more unemployment cause more fear of unemployment?

Gimpelson, Vladimir; Oshchepkov, Aleksey

doi:10.1186/2193-9020-1-6

IZA Journal of Labor & Development

Table 6 Factors influencing the fear of not finding a new job, RLMS, 1994-2009, oprobit

From: Does more unemployment cause more fear of unemployment?

Dependent variable: fear of not finding a new job (1-min., 5-max)	1994-1998			2000-2009
Variables	RU	SU	SNE	RU	SU	SNE
Female	-0.542***	-0.540***	-0.535***	0.283***	0.284***	0.231***
	(0.032)	(0.033)	(0.060)	(0.034)	(0.033)	(0.036)
Age (years)	0.020**	0.020**	0.020**	0.001	0.002	0.001
	(0.009)	(0.009)	(0.009)	(0.005)	(0.005)	(0.005)
Age squared	-0.000	-0.000	-0.000	0.000***	0.000***	0.000***
	(0.000)	(0.000)	(0.000)	(0.000)	(0.000)	(0.000)
Receiving pension	0.050	0.043	0.047	0.033	0.039	0.036
	(0.062)	(0.064)	(0.063)	(0.036)	(0.034)	(0.036)
Education level: secondary (reference category: below secondary)	0.016	0.023	0.019	-0.066*	-0.056	-0.066*
	(0.041)	(0.042)	(0.043)	(0.036)	(0.035)	(0.036)
Vocational	0.010	0.017	0.009	-0.101***	-0.101***	-0.215***
	(0.042)	(0.040)	(0.061)	(0.029)	(0.030)	(0.051)
Tertiary	-0.092**	-0.079*	-0.105	-0.072**	-0.082**	-0.339***
	(0.046)	(0.042)	(0.164)	(0.031)	(0.037)	(0.106)
Tenure (years)	0.010***	0.009***	0.010***	0.023***	0.024***	0.024***
	(0.003)	(0.003)	(0.003)	(0.003)	(0.003)	(0.003)
Tenure squared	-0.000*	-0.000*	-0.000*	-0.000***	-0.000***	-0.000***
	(0.000)	(0.000)	(0.000)	(0.000)	(0.000)	(0.000)
Married	0.004	0.002	0.005	-0.008	-0.010	-0.007
	(0.039)	(0.039)	(0.039)	(0.022)	(0.023)	(0.022)
Firm size: < 50 employees (reference category: >1000 employees)	-0.153***	-0.152***	-0.153***	-0.059*	-0.057*	-0.058*
	(0.053)	(0.053)	(0.053)	(0.031)	(0.031)	(0.031)
51-100 employees	-0.204***	-0.195***	-0.201***	0.033	0.024	0.030
	(0.054)	(0.053)	(0.055)	(0.038)	(0.037)	(0.037)
101-200 employees	-0.083	-0.085	-0.084	0.085***	0.079***	0.082***
	(0.059)	(0.059)	(0.060)	(0.027)	(0.027)	(0.027)
201-1000 employees	-0.056	-0.058	-0.056	0.101***	0.098***	0.100***
	(0.044)	(0.042)	(0.044)	(0.028)	(0.029)	(0.028)
State ownership	0.033	0.033	0.032	-0.053**	-0.051**	-0.051**
	(0.029)	(0.030)	(0.029)	(0.024)	(0.024)	(0.024)
Having subordinates	-0.108***	-0.100***	-0.108***	-0.115***	-0.119***	-0.117***
	(0.036)	(0.035)	(0.036)	(0.016)	(0.016)	(0.015)
Second job	-0.428***	-0.437***	-0.430***	-0.433***	-0.425***	-0.434***
	(0.047)	(0.047)	(0.047)	(0.041)	(0.042)	(0.042)
Rural	0.346***	0.347***	0.352***	0.511***	0.498***	0.525***
	(0.070)	(0.072)	(0.071)	(0.097)	(0.100)	(0.097)
Moscow or St. Petersburg	-0.236**	-0.247**	-0.245**	-0.008	-0.095	-0.126
	(0.100)	(0.102)	(0.099)	(0.103)	(0.082)	(0.077)
Wage arrears	0.133***	0.139***	0.136***	-0.002	0.003	0.005
	(0.026)	(0.027)	(0.027)	(0.031)	(0.032)	(0.031)
Regional unemployment (%)	0.007			0.022**
	(0.016)			(0.011)
Specific unemployment (%)		-0.000			0.002
		(0.003)			(0.002)
Specific unemployment (%)			0.000			0.005***
			(0.004)			(0.002)
N	11 369	10 998	11 332	48 187	46 463	48 187

Notes: 1) Standard errors robust to heteroscedasticity, autocorrelation and clusterisation are in parentheses; 2) *** - significance at 1% level; ** - significance at 5% level; *- significance at 10% level; 3) Controls: occupations, federal districts and years; 4) Estimates for constants and cut points are available on request; 5) RU is regional unemployment, SU is specific unemployment, SNE is specific non-employment.

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